Credit Default Risk

Lucia Protocol introduces a novel Credit Default Insurance (CDI) feature, akin to traditional financial insurance mechanisms, designed to provide coverage against unexpected credit events. This robust framework consists of risk pooling, risk transfer, and indemnification processes that collectively fortify the financial ecosystem.

Core Concepts of Lucia Credit Default Insurance

1. Risk Pooling

In this model, individual risks are aggregated into a communal pool, thereby diluting the financial impact of adverse events on any single participant. Contributors are only liable for the average loss, calculated across the entire pool.

The Risk Pool P is a collective sum of individual risks (r_i)

The average loss (L_avg) across the pool is calculated as:

Where N is the total number of contributors to the pool.

2. Risk Transfer

Rather than an individual bearing the brunt of an unforeseen event, the risk is transferred to the Lucia Protocol, which acts as the insurer.

3. Indemnification

In case of a default or another qualifying event, the affected parties are either fully or partially compensated for their losses from the communal insurance pool.

Mechanism Design: Premiums and Payouts

The Lucia Insurance contract is hinged on two core elements:

1. Equitable Premium:

   1. The equitable premium(EP) depends on the level of risk r transferred into the pool and is computed using Lucia’s proprietary risk models:

1. Contingent Payouts:

   1. In the event of a default, the payout (Payout) is disbursed, calculated based on predefined metrics in the insurance contract:

To cover potential insurance payouts, the Lucia Protocol levies a risk premium, also referred to as the equitable premium. This premium quantifies the level of risk being transferred into the pool, as determined by Lucia Protocol's credit risk scoring and supplemental financial models.

Operational Costs and Investment Strategy

The total premium (TP) also includes an administrative component (AC) to cover the operational costs associated with risk management:

By investing a portion of these collected premiums in "insPlot," additional revenue (R) is generated.

Risk Assessment and Management

In terms of risk management, Lucia Protocol adheres to the Law of Large Numbers to mitigate risks. With a diversified customer base, the overall risk is spread out and becomes statistically manageable, allowing Lucia to gradually lower premiums over time.

Seven Key Functions of Lucia Credit Default Insurance

1. Pool Control

2. Equitable Premium Calculation

3. Reinsurance Arrangement

4. Advanced Risk Management

5. Fund Investment

6. Claim Payment Oversight

7. Claim Solvency Assurance

The Lucia Protocol CDI serves as an internal mechanism to transfer credit default risks from the creditor to a well-managed communal pool. In the event of a borrower's default, the insurance coverage kicks in to indemnify the creditor, thereby maintaining the financial integrity of the entire ecosystem.